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5 Ways Engineers can Handle Extreme Uncertainty

Engineering and Leadership | Uncertainty

Photo credit: Flickr/ David Goehring

Do you work in an environment with high levels of uncertainty?

Uncertainty is characterized by high complexity (that is, many players or factors are at work) and high instability (things can change in a moment). If you have both complexity and instability, you have what’s called an uncertain environment.

This is exactly the kind of environment I work in, and it can be brutally difficult to stay on top of things. I work in the rail industry. As you can imagine, building a new rail vehicle is a massive undertaking with 100’s of people spread out throughout the world with competing demands and shifting timelines. It’s hard, and exhausting, and exciting. I’m sure you feel the same way at work sometimes.

One thing I’ve noticed is that engineers who are able to cope well with, or even thrive in uncertainty are those who find success in their careers.

Engineers are in a bit of a pickle, though. We’re supposed to pay close attention to standards, laws, regulations, design best practices, specifications, requirements, in-house design books, etc. All of this infers a very regimented, methodical approach to design. It requires control and structure. In organizational theory, they call this a “mechanistic” approach. However, this is in direct conflict with the need to deal with uncertainty, which requires flexibility and adaptability.

So, what’s an engineer to do?

I’ve compiled a list of 5 ideas that you can use to deal with uncertainty as an engineer below:

5 Ways Engineers can Handle Uncertainty

1. Document obsessively – Probably the most important thing you need to do is to document things obsessively. If you don’t take careful note of basics like your to do list, meeting minutes, important conversations you’ve had, on-site observations, etc., you’re toast. In a world where there are so many different things to keep track of, and they can each be changing unpredictably, there’s no way you’re going to be able to keep it all in your head. Get it on paper or in a digital notebook.

2. Master email – One of the reasons it can be difficult for engineers to handle uncertainty is that they don’t handle their communications well. Email is especially bad for getting unruly and out of hand. Engineers that don’t master their inbox miss important messages and aren’t able to stay on top of their project’s goings on. I’ve written a lot about how to manage email effectively here on the blog.

3. Understand the bigger picture – Often, I find engineers can lose sight of the bigger picture on the projects they work on. They lose their bearings with respect to why they are doing certain things, filling out certain forms, or making certain requests of vendors. I recently overheard a conversation where an engineer was asked why he requested a certain deliverable from a supplier. He had no idea. The point here is that in highly uncertain environments, it’s easy to put your head down and just do your work. This can be dangerous. It’s important to look up every so often to try and understand what’s going on around you so that you know the work you’re doing is actually on track. You might be surprised how often you need to pivot.

4. Pursue the truth actively – In highly uncertain environments, it’s very easy to satisfy yourself with simplistic answers to tough questions. For example, how many times have you heard “We’re designing it this way because this is how we did it on the last project”? That may be a totally valid design approach… but maybe it’s not. Often, the decision to reuse an old design is made out of laziness as opposed to strong engineering. It may be very difficult to determine why something was done a certain way in the past, and if that same approach is appropriate today. In this kind of environment, you need to have the determination and perseverance to sort out what you need to do.

5. Accept risk – Many engineers tend to be risk averse. They love to come up with the perfect solution – one that will always work. In a complex world of rapid change, this is not possible. You can never know every factor at play, and even if you did, you can’t rely on them to remain constant. In order to get things done, engineers need to learn to assess risk and accept a certain amount of it. In most cases, if a risk is realized you can fix your design. It may not be pretty, but it’s the reality of your environment. One caveat to this point: public safety can never be compromised. No system is ever 100% safe at all times and under all conditions, but this is one area where you have a professional obligation not to skimp out. You can’t experiment and just “see what happens”.

Moving Forward

How do you handle uncertainty at work? Tell the E&L community using the comments form below.

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Have your say

6 Comments

  1. Dante

    Great article and 100% true!. I remember how many times in my previous work I hit the “understand the big picture” wall with customers, specially Engineering companies. It surprised me how little the people involved with the project knew about the actual project, to the point that sometimes it took weeks to get from them an idea of the full picture and framework we were required to work with.

    After some struggling with it I realized that most of it was due to people not taking a step back, thinking about what’s going on, and then getting back on track full throttle (and this was due to a world of different reasons: over stressed staff, disengaged personal, huge projects with skeleton teams and so on). I remember how this lead to project delays, delivery issues, documentation problems, etc. I was dragged sometimes into the “uncertainty stress area”, realizing much later on the process, typically when I took some time to think about the reason of why I was so stressed!.

    I usually handle uncertainty by taking some time to go through the overall project, thinking the “why’s” and “how’s”. I do also apply critical thinking to designs and calculations, usually trying to involve a colleague whenever I believe the product can be improved. I totally agree with the 5 items on the article, specially document obsessively and master email . These only two activities if not controlled properly can bring havoc to a project.

    Reply
    • Pat Sweet

      Hi Dante,

      Thanks so much for your commentary! I agree with you. It’s very easy for people in this profession to be “down in the weeds” so to speak. In many ways, engineers have to be. As you say, though, this mindset can come at great expense.

      Thanks again for pitching in and providing such a detailed reply!

      Pat

      Reply
  2. hannah

    :) hellloww.. plss… give me a motivation to become a professional CIVIL ENGR.

    Reply
    • Pat Sweet

      Hi Hannah,

      I’m happy to help! If you want, you can send me a note through the contact page to get in touch.

      Pat

      Reply
  3. Fathhi Elsharif (@Elshareef10)

    Great article. ‘understanding the big picture’ part made it all, as many problems and troubles tend to happen because of the ignorance of the output.
    However nobody pays attention to the small questions that form the big picture
    The accumulation of the temporarily solutions however are the infrastructural solutions of the deep problems, Again great article, I’m looking forward to learn more from you.

    Fath Elrahman Elsharif

    Reply
    • Pat Sweet

      Hi Fath,

      Thank you very much for your comments. It’s great to hear that kind of positive feedback. I really appreciate it.

      Pat

      Reply

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May 1, 2014

By Pat Sweet

Pat is the president of The Engineering & Leadership Project. He's a recognized expert in leadership, project management, systems engineering and productivity.

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